Another free play: Dodgers vs Rockies, 18 AUG 2025
- Ghost Picks Jimmy Blog
- 6 days ago
- 2 min read
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MLB Action: Dodgers -1.5 vs Rockies
Game Overview:
Date & Time: Monday, August 18, 2025, 8:40 PM ET
Venue: Coors Field, Denver, CO
Pitching Matchup:
Dodgers: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (3.12 ERA, 140 K, 1.08 WHIP)
Rockies: Kyle Freeland (6.21 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, opponents hitting .293)
Why am I on the Dodgers at -1.5?
Pitching Mismatch of the Night, Yamamoto has been lights out, generating strikeouts at an elite clip while limiting walks. Meanwhile, Freeland has been getting rocked all year, especially at home in Coors, where his ERA balloons to 6.80+.
Dodgers Offense Too Hot, LA is top 5 in MLB in runs per game and OPS, and they’re averaging 5.7 runs per game in August. Against lefties like Freeland, they’ve been even better, posting a team OPS near .800.
Colorado Can’t Keep Pace, Rockies are just 35-89 overall and have the league’s worst bullpen ERA (5.50+). Even if Freeland scrapes through a few innings, the pen is a ticking time bomb.
Bet: Dodgers -1.5 Run Line
This is a pure mismatch across the board: ace-level pitching, a scorching Dodgers lineup, and a Colorado squad that’s completely outgunned. Everything lines up for LA to win big.
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