Free play! MLB Marlins vs Red Sox, 17 AUG 2025, Ghost Picks ATS
- Ghost Picks Jimmy Blog
- 6 days ago
- 2 min read
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MLB: Red Sox -1.5 VS Marlins
Game Overview:
Date & Time: Sunday, August 17, 2025, 1:35 PM ET
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Why do I like the Red Sox?
Garrett Crochet bounce back: Boston’s ace has posted elite numbers all season (2.48 ERA, 188 K through August 16), and though he stumbled in his last outing, this feels like a full-on reset moment against a vulnerable Marlins squad.
Pitching Mismatch: Marlins’ Janson Junk brings shaky metrics into this one, his ERA (4.14), high hard-hit rate, and inflated expected batting average all suggest trouble brewing.
Dominant Home Field Edge: Boston is a powerhouse at Fenway, particularly in games where Crochet starts. Expect the Marlins to struggle in both rhythm and runs. Crochet’s elite form, Fenway’s advantage, and the Marlins offensive struggles all converge, this looks like a confident play for a solid Boston outing.
High-level starting pitcher performance (Crochet)
Favorable home environment
Clear mismatch on the mound (Crochet vs. Junk)
Red Sox RL
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