Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Prediction MLB Tuesday Best Bets 7-1-2025
- Ghost Picks Jimmy
- Jul 1
- 1 min read
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Astros vs Rockies
⚾ OVER 11 RUNS
1. Coors Field altitude boost
Playing at over 5,000 feet, Coors Field is notorious for inflating offense—balls travel farther, leading to frequent extra-base hits and runs.
2. Pitching mismatch
Colton Gordon (Astros) has a 3.98 ERA and strong strikeout-to-walk ratio—solid, but not dominant.
Chase Dollander (Rockies) has struggled this season with a 6.06 ERA, walking many batters and prone to hard contact, especially in Colorado.
A rookie-heavy duel often increases volatility and scoring potential—batters seize mistakes, pitchers may not go deep into games.
3. Bullpen advantage
Houston’s bullpen is statistically strong (3.21 ERA recent span), likely to keep the run flow going if starters falter.
Colorado’s relief corps is overworked from poor starts, potentially leading to late-game scoring.
🧩 Bottom line
Expect a tat-a-tat affair with 7–8 runs likely from Houston and 3–5 from Colorado, pushed by Coors Field’s offensive environment and a one-sided pitching matchup. That puts you right in the 10–13 total run range—hence the 11.5 line.
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