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- Ghost Picks Jimmy Blog

- Nov 16
- 2 min read
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🏈 NFL — Packers vs Giants
📅 November 16, 2025
📘 Book: ESPN Bet
💰 Pick: Packers –7 (–110)
💪 Confidence: 7.7 / 10
📊 Model Edge: +4.5 pts vs spread
Breakdown: Love vs Winston is a turnover matchup on the Giants’ side more often than not. Green Bay projects better in pass rush and takeaway rate, and the offense grades out as more consistent down-to-down. Short fields off potential Winston mistakes drive a lot of the edge here; model has a strong cluster of outcomes where the Packers win by multiple scores even with modest yardage. 📈 Projected Score: Packers 27 – Giants 17


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